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S1d IBM Policy-Direction Sweep Result

Date: 2026-05-20 Backend: ibm_kingston Experiment ID: s1d_policy_direction_sweep_2026-05-20 Parent experiment: s1_dynamic_feedback_preregistration_2026-05-06

Artefacts

  • Readiness: data/s1_feedback_loop/s1d_xy_observable_readiness_ibm_kingston_20260520T134614Z.json
  • Readiness SHA-256: ecbfc54979c86159ca40a05da2249bf7fb807963893f2a812b3a07fcf36258d7
  • Raw counts: data/s1_feedback_loop/s1d_xy_observable_raw_counts_ibm_kingston_20260520T134614Z.json
  • Raw counts SHA-256: f26f3c442a2e91a215e47ec6bf0a515170a70cede3ce0ee4639ba1e7b121129d
  • Analysis: data/s1_feedback_loop/s1d_xy_observable_analysis_ibm_kingston_20260520T134614Z.json
  • Analysis SHA-256: 6e6bc2f513f23633c72756016392b58cbf140d89c6f9cc7fdd07880c66b61c76

Purpose

S1d is a same-paper continuation of S1/S1b/S1c. It tests whether the observed S1c weakness is best explained by an incorrect feedback correction direction, excess gain, or a more fundamental limitation of the monitored-feedback policy on the selected backend/calibration window.

The sweep keeps the S1c one-round shallow body and direct XY observable family, but compares three preregistered policy variants:

Variant Rounds Correction angle Base gain Purpose
current_shallow_positive 1 0.06 0.4 Repeat the completed S1c shallow positive-correction policy.
polarity_flipped 1 -0.06 0.4 Test whether S1c's negative shift was a correction-polarity effect.
weak_positive 1 0.03 0.2 Test whether positive correction needs a lower-gain stability boundary.

All policy variants passed readiness with maximum transpiled depth 237 and a total estimated QPU budget of 72.0 seconds under the 120.0 second ceiling.

Execution Notes

The first approved submission produced 14 completed IBM jobs before the local approval scheduler stopped because provider wall-clock wait time was reported as qpu_seconds. The accounting bug was fixed so QPU budget accounting uses the preregistered arm estimate while preserving provider wait time as wall_time_s. The run was resumed without duplicating completed arms: 14 jobs were recovered from IBM job lookup and the 10 missing arms were submitted.

Recovered jobs:

  • d86rm9h789is7390302g
  • d86rmbas46sc73f7cufg
  • d86rmd5g7okc73elhcsg
  • d86rmeh789is739030a0
  • d86rmg9789is739030bg
  • d86rmhop0eas73dlcipg
  • d86rmjlg7okc73elhd40
  • d86rml2s46sc73f7curg
  • d86rmmis46sc73f7cut0
  • d86rmo0p0eas73dlcj10
  • d86rmpop0eas73dlcj2g
  • d86rmr8p0eas73dlcj50
  • d86rmsp789is739030u0
  • d86rmulg7okc73elhdk0

Resume-submitted jobs:

  • d86roris46sc73f7d1b0
  • d86rq18p0eas73dlcmj0
  • d86rqkp789is7390358g
  • d86rqmh789is739035c0
  • d86rqo5g7okc73elhhs0
  • d86rqpp789is739035fg
  • d86rqras46sc73f7d3ig
  • d86rqt1789is739035kg
  • d86rquop0eas73dlcnig
  • d86rr0gp0eas73dlcnl0

Results

Feedback minus matched open-loop control by sorted direct-XY observable row:

Variant IXX IYY XXI YYI Mean signed Mean absolute
current_shallow_positive -0.0078125 -0.0136718750 -0.0605468750 0.1848958333 0.0257161458 0.0667317708
polarity_flipped -0.0130208333 -0.0065104167 0.0156250000 -0.0123697917 -0.0040690104 0.0118815104
weak_positive -0.0026041667 -0.0039062500 0.0065104167 -0.0201822917 -0.0050455729 0.0083007813

By mean signed feedback-control delta, the best variant is current_shallow_positive. This ranking is driven by the YYI channel; it does not by itself establish a stable feedback improvement.

Interpretation

S1d does not close the paper with a simple positive-feedback claim. It shows that the direct-XY response is policy- and calibration-window-sensitive. The completed S1c run moved all four direct-XY channels negative, while the S1d repeat of the same shallow positive policy produced one large positive YYI shift and three negative shifts. The polarity-flipped and weak-positive variants are closer to zero and do not rescue the policy.

The conservative same-paper conclusion is therefore diagnostic: the tested monitored-feedback law is not robustly beneficial at N = 3 system qubits on this backend class, but the direct-XY sector exposes structured policy sensitivity that is hidden by the original binary proxy. Any stronger claim requires a predeclared statistical repeat or a redesigned policy law, not post hoc selection of the favourable YYI channel.